The majority feels that Calderon won cleanly: GEA-ISA surveys and BGC
Wednesday, July 19, 2006
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The majority feels that Calderon won cleanly: GEA-ISA surveys and BGC Andrés Manuel López Obrador
The majority feels that Calderon won cleanly: GEA-ISA surveys and BGC
By: Francisco Rodríguez Báez Wednesday July 19, 2006 end of the presidential election, according to district records. According to the survey of BGC, the prevailing perception that Felipe Calderon is the rightful winner of the presidential election. This was considered 64% of respondents, while 26% think that the winner was Andrés Manuel López Obrador. Almost all voters PAN, 72% of PRI voters and two-thirds of independents, they share the idea of \u200b\u200bclean victory of Calderon. 17% of voters believe that AMLO PAN won the contest. 25% of the population believes him when Lopez Obrador says he won and there was fraud. Divided by party sympathy, it that 71% of voters in the coalition For the Good of Everyone believes him their candidate. Always according to BGC, in terms of the general population, remains favorable, and even increasing, confidence in the Federal Electoral Institute and the Electoral Tribunal of the Judiciary of the Federation. However, two thirds of the PRD have little or no confidence in the IFE, compared with 27% of those who do trust in this institution and 4% did not answer. For TEPJF the situation is similar: 53% of the PRD little or no trust in the court. BGC survey question about whether the government of President Fox has developed a strategy of fraud against López Obrador. The population response is clear: two thirds say they do not. In the case of AMLO voters, the proportion is reversed: 2 out of 3 think so there was no such strategy. Finally, the demonstrations organized by López Obrador has worsened the image of the candidate of the Coalition for the Good of All, according to BGC. The margin is wider among supporters of the PRI and PAN. In this case, voters are divided PRD. 30% of them is excited, another 30% agreed, 20% is neutral and 20% disagree and worsens the image of the candidate for whom they voted. The results of GEA-ISA have several similarities. The majority sees Calderon win cleanly, in elections field. 84% of the PRD see their candidate win (though less than half of them said that the elections were not fair). These proportions are maintained when GEA-ISA questions about the relevance of having "Vote by vote." Almost all of the PAN is against it, and most of the PRI. But 68% of voters believed that AMLO has to be done, against 20% who agree that the votes already counted, and 12% do not know. Unlike the BGC survey, GEA-ISA, a deterioration in the perception of the IFE. While the majority believes that this institution guarantees fairness in federal elections, 36% of the population thinks not. These are three quarters of López Obrador's voters and a third of voters Madrazo. Also in this survey, TEPJF is widely recognized, but is lower among supporters of AMLO, since only 44% of them perceived as fair, against 32% who think this is part and 24% did not know or no answer . AMLO's call for demonstrations is also analyzed in this survey, and also results in a majority among the public repudiation. But, as in the other survey, a majority agrees PRD in the notice. Significantly, 23% disagree and only half are willing to participate. In both surveys, the position of voters PRI is in a place between PAN and PRD. Overall, two out of three PRI are inclined to the views prevailing in the constituency of Calderon, while another third is inclined to the view of voters of AMLO. The most significant is that between 17 and 35% of voters in López Obrador dissociated themselves from their points of view and attitude do not match the post-election candidate. This means that AMLO has lost between 3 and 4 million votes in two weeks. In fact, GEA-ISA said, a week after the election, "if the election were held today for President, which candidate would you vote for?". Calderón won 46%, Lopez Obrador 38%, Madrazo 14% and 2% other candidates. Although, of course, perhaps the least interested in. Lopez Obrador now are the votes, because, according to the same polls, has over 7 million hard fans. 3Data methodological surveys GEA-ISA and BGC Ulises Beltrán y Asociados can be found on the respective websites of the companies. http://www.cronica.com.mx/nota.php?id_nota=251899 The majority feels that Calderon won cleanly: GEA-ISA surveys and BGC
this if it is a comple ... Informational Peje Lopez Obrador = = = AMLO MALO. If you inform, whether to pursue enforcement of the Act is to make a plot, this one is.
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